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Red381
1111144.7
446495.1
5338176.6
Blue117
2819101.8
2912111.8
494984.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3381950100300400500381117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.60.1
167.0167.0
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
red by 64.9
2912
#23
111.82.8
109.3112.1
Auto14.8
Teleop82.4
End15.2
Second
1111
#17
144.72.5
127.3129.8
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
red by 42.9
2819
#26
101.83.8
97.6101.5
Auto14.2
Teleop83.2
End1.5
Third
4464
#33
95.12.8
106.4103.5
Auto15.3
Teleop73.0
End7.6
red by 10.2
4949
#36
84.91.2
89.790.9
Auto12.7
Teleop66.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed