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Red200
1123109.9
1446102.2
4242127.0
Blue307
2377165.1
1418178.1
446495.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1753800100300500600200307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4242
#16
127.00.1
112.2112.1
Auto17.7
Teleop100.4
End11.6
blue by 51.1
178.10.5
171.0171.5
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
Second
1123
#34
109.92.2
109.3111.5
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End8.9
blue by 55.2
165.16.1
136.1142.2
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
Third
1446
#22
102.20.6
102.3102.9
Auto14.8
Teleop81.4
End5.8
red by 7.1
4464
#33
95.10.3
103.9103.6
Auto15.3
Teleop73.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed