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Red344
116137.5
4456122.2
2537158.1
Blue134
1111144.7
4638105.4
1915105.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273265150200250300350344134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#10
158.10.9
127.5128.4
Auto21.8
Teleop118.9
End20.2
red by 13.4
1111
#17
144.74.1
129.8133.9
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
Second
116
#5
137.51.6
124.9126.5
Auto15.7
Teleop103.5
End19.9
red by 32.0
4638
#32
105.42.1
114.2112.0
Auto13.6
Teleop80.1
End9.5
Third
4456
#30
122.20.6
111.5112.1
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3
red by 17.0
1915
#25DQ
105.20.3
105.5105.8
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed