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Red392
4505131.4
2914112.8
1418178.1
Blue107
446495.1
1915105.2
1885156.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315234100200400500392107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.10.0
171.5171.5
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
red by 21.9
156.22.6
140.8143.4
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
Second
4505
#12
131.41.6
119.7121.3
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
red by 26.2
1915
#25
105.20.8
105.8105.0
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
Third
2914
#15
112.81.1
102.5101.4
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
red by 17.7
4464
#33
95.11.2
103.6102.4
Auto15.3
Teleop73.0
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed