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Red206
1885156.2
4821110.7
2421148.4
Blue195
1446102.2
1111144.7
5830109.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082580100200400500600206195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.212.2
110.1122.3
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
red by 11.5
1111
#17
144.713.8
94.9108.7
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
Second
148.415.3
81.296.5
Auto17.6
Teleop111.1
End23.1
red by 38.7
5830
#19
109.60.9
105.2106.1
Auto12.2
Teleop91.8
End7.9
Third
4821
#24
110.718.0
56.674.6
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
red by 8.4
1446
#22
102.217.2
63.881.0
Auto14.8
Teleop81.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed