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Red349
2377165.1
116137.5
2914112.8
Blue325
1731184.0
1389107.0
6326129.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316305150200250350400450500349325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.14.2
151.7155.9
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
blue by 18.9
184.01.7
176.5178.3
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
Second
116
#5
137.51.0
130.6131.6
Auto15.7
Teleop103.5
End19.9
red by 7.6
6326
#20
129.91.9
133.2131.2
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
Third
2914
#15
112.83.0
102.8105.8
Auto14.4
Teleop89.9
End11.4
red by 5.8
1389
#37
107.01.6
108.7107.1
Auto15.9
Teleop81.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed