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Red254
1915105.2
2199143.3
4505131.4
Blue378
4638105.4
1629179.7
494984.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311266100200400500254378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#13
143.33.5
136.5140.0
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
blue by 36.4
179.72.3
171.6174.0
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
Second
4505
#12
131.40.9
130.0130.9
Auto15.5
Teleop107.1
End11.6
red by 26.0
4638
#32
105.40.2
105.3105.1
Auto13.6
Teleop80.1
End9.5
Third
1915
#25
105.20.2
104.7104.9
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
red by 20.3
4949
#36
84.90.9
84.084.9
Auto12.7
Teleop66.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed