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Red227
1418178.1
5338176.6
6326129.9
Blue358
1885156.2
1731184.0
4456122.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369329100200300400500600227358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.10.2
177.8178.0
Auto21.8
Teleop132.3
End23.1
blue by 5.9
184.00.3
182.2182.5
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
Second
176.60.4
175.9176.4
Auto20.1
Teleop124.8
End32.0
red by 20.4
156.20.2
154.9155.1
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
Third
6326
#20
129.90.0
129.9129.9
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
red by 7.7
4456
#30
122.20.0
121.8121.8
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3