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Red237
384158.4
1262183.2
5957107.6
Blue425
1610145.4
346155.3
401125.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359326100200300400500600237425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.20.3
182.9183.2
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 27.9
346
#10
155.30.5
154.8155.3
Auto20.8
Teleop109.5
End26.8
Second
384
#6
158.40.4
158.0158.4
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 13.0
1610
#15
145.40.5
145.0145.4
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Third
5957
#22
107.60.2
107.5107.6
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
blue by 18.2
401
#21
125.80.6
125.2125.8
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2