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Red357
384158.4
1262183.2
5957107.6
Blue311
3258138.2
5950138.3
1413135.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364305100200400500600700357311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.20.3
181.0181.4
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 44.9
5950
#12
138.30.4
137.5137.9
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
Second
384
#6
158.40.5
155.3155.8
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 20.2
3258
#16
138.20.6
137.0137.6
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
Third
5957
#22
107.60.2
106.3106.5
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
blue by 27.9
1413
#20
135.50.3
135.0135.3
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7