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Red397
384158.4
1262183.2
5957107.6
Blue301
3258138.2
5950138.3
1413135.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366306100200400500600700397301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.20.4
181.4181.7
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 44.9
5950
#12
138.30.4
137.9138.3
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
Second
384
#6
158.40.5
155.8156.3
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 20.2
3258
#16
138.20.6
137.6138.2
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
Third
5957
#22
107.60.2
106.5106.7
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
blue by 27.9
1413
#20
135.50.3
135.3135.5
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7