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Red201
6802141.5
339144.7
540124.3
Blue363
1610145.4
346155.3
401125.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332328250300350400201363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#3
144.70.5
143.7144.3
Auto16.2
Teleop110.1
End23.1
blue by 10.5
346
#10
155.30.3
152.8153.1
Auto20.8
Teleop109.5
End26.8
Second
141.50.8
140.0140.8
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End14.8
blue by 3.9
1610
#15
145.40.3
143.2143.4
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Third
540
#18
124.30.2
124.0124.2
Auto15.4
Teleop95.2
End16.0
blue by 1.5
401
#21
125.80.4
122.8123.2
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2