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Red389
2106133.3
1262183.2
5804140.5
Blue181
1413135.5
836151.7
3939116.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942500100200400500600700389181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.28.0
129.2137.2
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 31.5
836
#8
151.75.6
120.3125.9
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
Second
140.52.8
112.3115.1
Auto14.9
Teleop103.5
End24.6
red by 5.0
1413
#20
135.55.8
115.8121.6
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End17.7
Third
133.32.6
102.3105.0
Auto16.3
Teleop105.1
End15.2
red by 17.1
3939
#24
116.21.7
101.0102.7
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed