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Red237
5279134.7
1086144.2
1610145.4
Blue246
3258138.2
401125.8
2998105.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092220100400500237246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#15
145.44.6
117.3121.9
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
red by 7.3
3258
#16
138.22.6
105.2107.8
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
Second
1086
#17
144.25.5
117.6123.1
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
red by 18.4
401
#21
125.80.7
108.1107.4
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
Third
5279
#14
134.70.4
123.6124.0
Auto18.6
Teleop100.7
End17.4
red by 29.4
2998
#31
105.44.3
107.6111.8
Auto13.4
Teleop86.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed