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Red170
159899.3
3939116.2
1599141.2
Blue392
1610145.4
206899.8
6802141.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233269100150200300350400450170392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.21.6
121.0122.6
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
blue by 4.2
1610
#15
145.42.3
121.9124.1
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Second
3939
#24
116.21.0
102.7103.7
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
blue by 25.4
141.53.6
111.3114.9
Auto16.9
Teleop110.6
End14.8
Third
1598
#34DQ
99.32.1
106.5104.3
Auto12.0
Teleop77.0
End12.1
blue by 0.5
2068
#27
99.81.1
96.395.2
Auto16.9
Teleop74.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed