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Red397
836151.7
1610145.4
3258138.2
Blue127
540124.3
428699.2
6189101.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3481880100300400500397127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
151.73.2
133.2136.4
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
red by 27.4
540
#18
124.30.6
119.5118.9
Auto15.4
Teleop95.2
End16.0
Second
1610
#15
145.44.4
129.7134.1
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
red by 43.7
6189
#29
101.82.3
97.299.6
Auto11.8
Teleop81.5
End10.6
Third
3258
#16
138.23.5
112.5116.0
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
red by 39.0
4286
#32
99.20.7
114.8114.2
Auto13.6
Teleop80.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed