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Red383
1262183.2
2028110.9
1086144.2
Blue247
1610145.4
1599141.2
5957107.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351264100200300400500600383247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.25.1
169.1174.2
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 37.8
1610
#15
145.43.3
138.0141.4
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Second
1086
#17
144.23.0
130.9133.9
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
red by 3.0
141.24.4
126.3130.7
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
Third
2028
#23
110.92.4
103.6106.0
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End11.6
red by 3.3
5957
#22
107.63.7
115.3111.5
Auto14.2
Teleop83.0
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed