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Red31
401125.8
602197.4
2028110.9
Blue239
61792.1
3136103.6
1522123.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2762825010015020025030035040045031239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#21
125.814.9
84.299.2
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
red by 2.4
1522
#11
123.415.1
82.797.8
Auto14.7
Teleop97.3
End14.1
Second
2028
#23
110.915.8
75.991.8
Auto14.0
Teleop87.7
End11.6
red by 7.4
3136
#33
103.616.1
73.889.9
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7
Third
6021
#30
97.416.9
66.383.2
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End5.9
red by 5.2
617
#35DQ
92.117.1
64.781.8
Auto12.5
Teleop75.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed