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Red428
1086144.2
384158.4
1599141.2
Blue248
1793122.6
1610145.4
3136103.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351256100200300400500428248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
158.41.8
148.9150.8
Auto15.9
Teleop119.8
End24.1
red by 13.0
1610
#15
145.40.7
141.4142.0
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Second
1086
#17
144.22.9
133.9136.7
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
red by 21.6
1793
#19
122.60.3
121.3121.6
Auto17.1
Teleop86.7
End20.8
Third
141.21.4
130.7132.1
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
red by 37.6
3136
#33
103.62.0
98.2100.2
Auto13.5
Teleop80.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed