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Red210
1262183.2
2998105.4
3939116.2
Blue233
1908108.8
401125.8
6882142.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353244100200300400500600210233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.24.4
174.2178.6
Auto22.8
Teleop131.2
End28.3
red by 41.1
142.12.9
131.8134.7
Auto14.3
Teleop111.1
End18.6
Second
3939
#24
116.22.5
111.9114.5
Auto14.2
Teleop91.3
End9.4
blue by 9.6
401
#21
125.82.6
116.9119.5
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2
Third
2998
#31
105.43.6
115.7112.1
Auto13.4
Teleop86.5
End2.2
blue by 3.5
1908
#25
108.82.5
113.9111.5
Auto16.4
Teleop84.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed