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Red191
1908108.8
1522123.4
3258138.2
Blue420
1599141.2
5950138.3
836151.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256345100200300400500600191420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#16
138.23.5
133.5137.0
Auto14.5
Teleop109.5
End16.6
blue by 13.5
836
#8
151.70.9
149.0149.9
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
Second
1522
#11
123.40.8
122.6123.4
Auto14.7
Teleop97.3
End14.1
blue by 17.9
141.22.4
134.7137.0
Auto17.8
Teleop108.1
End19.3
Third
1908
#25
108.81.2
110.0108.8
Auto16.4
Teleop84.9
End4.7
blue by 29.4
5950
#12
138.30.6
136.9137.5
Auto17.0
Teleop98.2
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed