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Red255
836151.7
5804140.5
1086144.2
Blue387
1610145.4
346155.3
401125.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349319100200400500600255387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#8
151.70.3
151.3151.7
Auto18.0
Teleop118.1
End16.3
blue by 3.6
346
#10
155.30.4
153.8154.3
Auto20.8
Teleop109.5
End26.8
Second
1086
#17
144.20.3
143.9144.2
Auto25.1
Teleop106.4
End13.8
blue by 1.2
1610
#15
145.40.4
144.1144.5
Auto18.7
Teleop113.5
End14.9
Third
140.50.4
140.1140.5
Auto14.9
Teleop103.5
End24.6
red by 14.7
401
#21
125.80.5
124.1124.7
Auto16.3
Teleop93.2
End18.2