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Red275
4472165.6
654390.6
422146.4
Blue397
5338161.0
1418165.4
316152.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543370100200300400500600275397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.614.4
89.2103.6
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
red by 0.3
165.413.2
100.8114.0
Auto20.8
Teleop120.3
End28.4
Second
422
#10
146.415.3
81.396.5
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
blue by 14.6
161.013.5
97.7111.2
Auto18.9
Teleop113.7
End32.5
Third
6543
#36
90.617.6
60.077.6
Auto12.7
Teleop73.5
End8.3
blue by 62.1
316
#4
152.713.7
95.4109.2
Auto16.2
Teleop123.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed