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Red278
623148.3
171996.3
614157.6
Blue197
206894.6
619116.8
2363157.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062640100200400500600278197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#7
157.68.0
117.0125.0
Auto19.5
Teleop119.1
End18.4
blue by 0.3
157.85.3
126.8132.1
Auto20.7
Teleop122.0
End17.0
Second
623
#12
148.34.6
120.3124.9
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
red by 31.6
619
#31
116.88.6
101.1109.7
Auto14.1
Teleop89.9
End16.5
Third
1719
#37
96.31.9
109.5111.4
Auto12.6
Teleop77.8
End5.5
red by 1.7
2068
#29
94.60.9
99.999.0
Auto13.1
Teleop76.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed