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Red334
3373124.9
1731169.2
422146.4
Blue293
2988115.2
623148.3
1895132.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338264100200300400500600334293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.25.9
146.1152.0
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
red by 20.9
623
#12
148.33.7
124.9128.6
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
Second
422
#10
146.43.7
125.0128.7
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
red by 13.8
1895
#20
132.64.7
120.4125.1
Auto13.0
Teleop103.1
End19.0
Third
3373
#28
124.96.7
106.2112.9
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
red by 9.8
2988
#16
115.23.2
105.7108.9
Auto14.1
Teleop95.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed