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Red269
1137102.8
422146.4
2988115.2
Blue122
68697.0
5830105.2
171996.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280243100150200300350400450269122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
146.42.5
131.4133.9
Auto19.0
Teleop114.8
End13.6
red by 41.2
5830
#30
105.20.6
110.1109.5
Auto12.2
Teleop88.3
End5.7
Second
2988
#16
115.20.5
111.5111.0
Auto14.1
Teleop95.5
End6.6
red by 18.2
686
#35
97.03.7
112.3108.5
Auto14.6
Teleop78.2
End6.1
Third
1137
#38
102.82.3
111.2109.0
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
red by 6.4
1719
#37
96.30.1
113.4113.3
Auto12.6
Teleop77.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed