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Red298
2988115.2
5546151.8
116121.4
Blue294
2534145.9
1137102.8
6334119.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305262100200400500298294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.83.5
137.0140.5
Auto20.9
Teleop109.5
End26.1
red by 5.9
2534
#11
145.91.1
142.5143.6
Auto17.7
Teleop114.7
End17.4
Second
116
#33
121.40.7
118.6119.3
Auto13.4
Teleop91.7
End17.2
red by 2.0
6334
#24
119.32.6
121.2118.6
Auto15.8
Teleop92.7
End12.5
Third
2988
#16
115.21.6
110.1111.7
Auto14.1
Teleop95.5
End6.6
red by 12.4
1137
#38
102.82.1
105.9103.8
Auto15.8
Teleop82.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed