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Red237
122132.4
2186120.9
3274118.4
Blue382
1418165.4
5830105.2
623148.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273350100300400500600237382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#23
132.41.0
133.9132.9
Auto15.1
Teleop106.7
End11.4
blue by 33.0
165.42.6
153.9156.5
Auto20.8
Teleop120.3
End28.4
Second
2186
#26
120.90.1
120.2120.3
Auto12.6
Teleop94.7
End13.6
blue by 27.4
623
#12
148.32.9
139.2142.2
Auto18.4
Teleop115.8
End17.9
Third
3274
#22
118.40.8
115.0114.2
Auto10.5
Teleop98.3
End12.2
red by 13.2
5830
#30
105.20.3
102.8103.2
Auto12.2
Teleop88.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed