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Red117
116121.4
206894.6
3373124.9
Blue387
4514100.2
4472165.6
1731169.2
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123890100300500600117387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#28
124.90.8
123.8124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop96.8
End12.2
blue by 44.2
169.20.8
167.9168.7
Auto19.6
Teleop132.7
End15.2
Second
116
#33
121.41.5
119.3120.8
Auto13.4
Teleop91.7
End17.2
blue by 44.2
165.63.7
156.5160.2
Auto23.7
Teleop118.0
End23.3
Third
2068
#29
94.61.6
92.493.9
Auto13.1
Teleop76.4
End12.2
blue by 5.6
4514
#34
100.21.2
102.0100.9
Auto10.8
Teleop82.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed