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Red380
122142.3
5724140.1
2028135.6
Blue342
5546172.8
6334155.1
977126.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293349100200400500600380342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#9
142.30.4
142.0142.3
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End11.8
blue by 30.5
172.80.5
172.3172.8
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
Second
140.10.3
139.7140.1
Auto17.2
Teleop105.5
End18.8
blue by 15.1
155.10.7
154.5155.1
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
Third
2028
#19
135.60.4
135.2135.6
Auto15.1
Teleop103.9
End17.4
red by 9.2
977
#17
126.40.5
125.9126.4
Auto16.2
Teleop98.5
End13.2