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Red444
5546172.8
6334155.1
977126.4
Blue178
1522134.4
2890127.2
1137114.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405236100200300500600444178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.80.6
169.3169.9
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
red by 38.4
1522
#12
134.40.2
134.2134.4
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
Second
155.10.8
150.5151.3
Auto23.4
Teleop108.5
End26.9
red by 27.9
2890
#11
127.20.7
126.5127.2
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Third
977
#17
126.40.6
122.9123.5
Auto16.2
Teleop98.5
End13.2
red by 12.2
1137
#23
114.20.3
113.9114.2
Auto16.4
Teleop89.0
End10.8