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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305209010040050031666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.01.6
157.8159.4
Auto22.3
Teleop132.7
End16.4
red by 43.8
2890
#11
127.216.6
69.285.8
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
Second
1137
#23
114.20.4
102.8102.4
Auto16.4
Teleop89.0
End10.8
blue by 0.6
5957
#20
114.80.3
107.6107.9
Auto14.9
Teleop88.0
End14.5
Third
2998
#18
94.12.4
105.4103.0
Auto14.6
Teleop78.8
End-1.0
red by 8.6
617
#28
85.60.9
92.191.3
Auto13.3
Teleop71.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed