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Red334
5724140.1
1446113.1
5546172.8
Blue302
5804146.3
1080118.0
5950146.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723310100200400500600700334302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.81.9
156.4158.3
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
red by 26.5
5804
#14
146.30.2
142.0142.2
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
Second
140.17.2
94.9102.1
Auto17.2
Teleop105.5
End18.8
blue by 6.1
5950
#24
146.20.0
139.9139.9
Auto18.4
Teleop101.3
End26.6
Third
1446
#21
113.10.5
103.0103.5
Auto16.6
Teleop86.2
End11.9
blue by 4.9
1080
#22
118.04.7
109.5114.2
Auto17.7
Teleop90.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed