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Red86
53989.4
6021102.0
2890127.2
Blue392
1522134.4
2068109.7
122142.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217295010040050060086392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2890
#11
127.25.3
94.699.9
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
blue by 15.1
122
#9
142.30.2
130.4130.2
Auto14.8
Teleop116.0
End11.8
Second
6021
#34
102.00.9
99.4100.4
Auto15.2
Teleop78.3
End8.8
blue by 32.4
1522
#12
134.40.1
122.9123.0
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
Third
539
#27
89.46.5
90.897.3
Auto13.6
Teleop72.4
End4.1
blue by 20.3
2068
#32
109.71.0
100.8101.8
Auto17.4
Teleop80.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed