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Red260
6312108.8
3072147.9
5950146.2
Blue214
5804146.3
1522134.4
1908103.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291279100200400500260214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.916.1
74.090.1
Auto15.2
Teleop112.7
End24.6
red by 1.6
5804
#14
146.31.0
140.5141.6
Auto17.5
Teleop107.9
End19.3
Second
5950
#24
146.21.1
138.3139.4
Auto18.4
Teleop101.3
End26.6
red by 11.9
1522
#12
134.40.0
123.4123.3
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
Third
6312
#26
108.831.0
108.877.7
Auto14.3
Teleop91.0
End3.7
red by 5.7
1908
#33
103.11.4
108.8107.4
Auto15.5
Teleop81.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed