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Red52
1446113.1
61785.6
3359103.0
Blue435
3136123.0
422158.3
1080118.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169353010020030040050060052435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1446
#21
113.11.4
107.7109.1
Auto16.6
Teleop86.2
End11.9
blue by 45.2
422
#8
158.31.4
153.8155.2
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End12.8
Second
3359
#25
103.01.7
109.4107.7
Auto14.4
Teleop79.1
End11.1
blue by 20.0
3136
#10
123.01.4
111.3112.7
Auto13.9
Teleop89.9
End24.1
Third
617
#28
85.60.4
89.089.4
Auto13.3
Teleop71.3
End4.6
blue by 32.4
1080
#22
118.00.5
110.3110.8
Auto17.7
Teleop90.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed