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Red217
977126.4
5546172.8
428689.5
Blue237
1610170.0
61785.6
53989.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313244100150200350400450500217237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.81.1
163.4164.5
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
red by 2.8
170.02.7
158.7161.4
Auto19.6
Teleop130.6
End20.5
Second
977
#17
126.41.9
117.1119.0
Auto16.2
Teleop98.5
End13.2
red by 37.0
539
#27
89.42.2
95.593.3
Auto13.6
Teleop72.4
End4.1
Third
4286
#35
89.50.1
92.692.7
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End2.5
red by 3.9
617
#28
85.60.5
89.488.9
Auto13.3
Teleop71.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed