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Red386
5546172.8
595498.8
1610170.0
Blue258
6882149.6
435113.1
2068109.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342270100200300400500600386258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.82.3
151.8154.1
Auto20.7
Teleop126.1
End27.9
red by 23.2
6882
#15
149.62.0
142.1144.1
Auto16.8
Teleop113.1
End20.2
Second
170.01.7
145.4147.1
Auto19.6
Teleop130.6
End20.5
red by 56.9
435
#30
113.10.1
125.2125.3
Auto15.9
Teleop89.7
End9.5
Third
5954
#37
98.81.1
100.1101.2
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
blue by 11.0
2068
#32
109.70.6
99.8100.3
Auto17.4
Teleop80.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed