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Red159
61785.6
3389125.4
422158.3
Blue304
5950146.2
6882149.6
6189105.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29931602004006008001,000159304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#8
158.31.5
157.3158.8
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End12.8
red by 8.7
6882
#15
149.60.7
150.5151.3
Auto16.8
Teleop113.1
End20.2
Second
3389
#29
125.40.4
127.9128.3
Auto13.4
Teleop95.3
End14.6
blue by 20.9
5950
#24
146.20.7
143.5144.2
Auto18.4
Teleop101.3
End26.6
Third
617
#28
85.60.8
88.988.2
Auto13.3
Teleop71.3
End4.6
blue by 20.1
6189
#13
105.71.3
102.1103.4
Auto15.0
Teleop80.8
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed