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Red298
53989.4
1522134.4
1793117.7
Blue254
595498.8
1446113.1
1137114.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292253100200400500298254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1522
#12
134.41.4
128.4129.8
Auto16.9
Teleop103.4
End14.9
red by 20.2
1137
#23
114.21.9
108.4110.3
Auto16.4
Teleop89.0
End10.8
Second
1793
#31
117.70.3
117.5117.2
Auto17.2
Teleop86.1
End17.5
red by 4.6
1446
#21
113.11.0
110.2111.2
Auto16.6
Teleop86.2
End11.9
Third
539
#27
89.42.4
93.390.9
Auto13.6
Teleop72.4
End4.1
blue by 9.4
5954
#37
98.81.1
101.4100.3
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed