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Red421
2890127.2
428689.5
2363171.0
Blue213
422158.3
6312108.8
595498.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303268150200250350400450500421213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.00.4
170.3169.9
Auto22.3
Teleop132.7
End16.4
red by 12.7
422
#8
158.30.2
158.9158.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End12.8
Second
2890
#11
127.22.0
123.7125.7
Auto16.8
Teleop94.4
End22.8
red by 18.4
6312
#26
108.80.0
108.8108.8
Auto14.3
Teleop91.0
End3.7
Third
4286
#35
89.51.3
90.989.5
Auto15.3
Teleop72.2
End2.5
blue by 9.3
5954
#37
98.80.7
99.498.8
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed