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Red209
1629208.3
1599176.3
3136134.5
Blue391
623170.6
836158.7
2363159.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37733502006008001,000209391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
208.30.0
208.3208.3
Auto25.5
Teleop159.2
End21.9
red by 37.7
623
#7
170.60.0
170.6170.6
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
176.30.0
176.3176.3
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
red by 16.5
2363
#26
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
Third
3136
#30
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
blue by 24.2
836
#3
158.70.0
158.7158.7
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1