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Red362
1599176.3
339128.7
5724141.1
Blue366
5957116.1
6802144.5
1610154.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36728102006008001,000362366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.30.0
176.3176.3
Auto21.7
Teleop127.4
End31.5
red by 21.4
154.90.0
154.9154.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.0
End15.7
Second
5724
#24
141.10.0
141.1141.1
Auto16.8
Teleop106.4
End16.7
blue by 3.4
6802
#18
144.50.0
144.5144.5
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
Third
339
#6
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
red by 12.5
116.10.0
116.1116.1
Auto15.4
Teleop87.9
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest odds78%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds