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Red209
346166.6
1413148.4
435115.0
Blue370
122147.1
6194130.8
2106148.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324325250300350400450209370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#2
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto20.8
Teleop116.2
End29.6
red by 18.1
2106
#20
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.2
Teleop113.2
End17.4
Second
148.40.0
148.4148.4
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
red by 1.3
122
#17
147.10.0
147.1147.1
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
Third
435
#21
115.00.0
115.0115.0
Auto17.2
Teleop85.6
End12.2
blue by 15.8
6194
#15
130.80.0
130.8130.8
Auto18.1
Teleop94.1
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest odds70%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds