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Red420
540152.1
1413148.4
339128.7
Blue175
623170.6
3136134.5
5724141.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133670100200500600700800420175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#22
152.10.0
152.1152.1
Auto17.3
Teleop113.2
End21.2
blue by 18.5
623
#7
170.60.0
170.6170.6
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
148.40.0
148.4148.4
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
red by 7.3
5724
#24
141.10.0
141.1141.1
Auto16.8
Teleop106.4
End16.7
Third
339
#6
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.6
End16.7
blue by 5.8
3136
#30
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.7
Teleop92.8
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest odds48%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds27%Face the Boss odds