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Red201
1137114.2
1080131.6
6802144.5
Blue423
2028141.5
1610154.9
623170.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2584030100200300500600700800201423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#18
144.50.0
144.5144.5
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
blue by 26.1
623
#7
170.60.0
170.6170.6
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
1080
#28
131.60.0
131.6131.6
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
blue by 23.4
154.90.0
154.9154.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.0
End15.7
Third
1137
#25
114.20.0
114.2114.2
Auto16.4
Teleop89.0
End10.8
blue by 27.4
2028
#16
141.50.0
141.5141.5
Auto16.6
Teleop105.8
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds57%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss odds18%Face the Boss odds