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Red220
1522136.2
2682159.6
122147.1
Blue395
623170.6
836158.7
2363159.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143620100200400500600700800220395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#10
159.60.0
159.6159.6
Auto20.4
Teleop116.4
End23.1
blue by 11.0
623
#7
170.60.0
170.6170.6
Auto18.6
Teleop121.8
End30.9
Second
122
#17
147.10.0
147.1147.1
Auto16.2
Teleop119.3
End12.5
blue by 12.8
2363
#26
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto21.8
Teleop119.0
End21.9
Third
1522
#12
136.20.0
136.2136.2
Auto16.7
Teleop98.1
End23.0
blue by 22.5
836
#3
158.70.0
158.7158.7
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1