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Red113
4131138.5
3684119.0
2927116.4
Blue278
6503109.1
3393116.8
2557152.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26730002004006008001,0001,2001,400113278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#14
138.514.4
88.7103.1
Auto16.7
Teleop100.4
End21.7
blue by 13.5
152.013.2
100.8114.0
Auto21.7
Teleop120.1
End10.5
Second
3684
#26
119.016.1
73.689.7
Auto15.9
Teleop92.0
End12.3
red by 2.3
3393
#22
116.814.7
86.7101.4
Auto13.9
Teleop91.5
End6.0
Third
2927
#25
116.417.6
60.077.6
Auto14.6
Teleop86.4
End17.5
red by 7.3
6503
#31
109.117.7
59.377.1
Auto13.8
Teleop84.6
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed