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Red149
3219149.8
3684119.0
948145.6
Blue304
2906126.9
1778146.4
2046211.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423850100200300500600700149304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#13
149.88.4
111.6120.0
Auto19.0
Teleop111.5
End21.8
blue by 61.7
211.51.7
204.5206.1
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
Second
948
#16
145.68.8
117.9126.7
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End10.6
blue by 0.7
146.410.3
115.0125.3
Auto19.7
Teleop110.0
End15.0
Third
3684
#26
119.08.1
89.797.8
Auto15.9
Teleop92.0
End12.3
blue by 7.9
126.95.2
99.9105.1
Auto14.2
Teleop98.1
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed