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Red42
4461103.2
568127.4
3238153.0
Blue420
1983143.1
2046211.5
3574135.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22641410030050060042420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#10
153.01.3
154.2155.4
Auto24.6
Teleop109.5
End19.6
blue by 58.5
211.51.9
207.4209.3
Auto26.0
Teleop159.5
End26.8
Second
568
#11
127.41.2
117.9119.1
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End22.4
blue by 15.7
143.16.8
127.9134.7
Auto15.4
Teleop112.4
End17.8
Third
4461
#24
103.28.8
95.6104.5
Auto13.6
Teleop85.1
End3.4
blue by 32.5
3574
#19
135.73.7
116.7120.5
Auto18.0
Teleop99.6
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed